[’ for deduction and assumption
156 mu»t used for deduction
A Forms Present
must + present infinitive: He must live here, or must + continuous infinitive: He must be living ken. Past
must + perfect infinitive: He must have lived here, or must + continuous perfect infinitive: He must Have been living here. Note the difference between the past forms of mu*t used for deduction and the past equivalent of must used for obligation: had to. must is not used for negative deduction (see 159) and is not noHBfcBy used in the interrogative except when querying a deduction with mu»t:
There’s a lot of noise from upstairs. It must be Tom. – Why must it
be Tom? Other people use that flat.
B Examples
te: He has a house in London and another in Paris, so he must be rich,
i I’ve had no sleep for 48 hours. ~ You must be exhausted.
I He develops his own films. That must save him a lot of money.
I I keep meeting him on the bus. He must live/must be living near by.
It The police are stopping all cars. They must be looking for the escaped
I prisoner.
i. What explosion? 1 didn ’t hear any. -~ You must have heard it! The
• whole bum heard it!
I He must have taken sleeping pills last night. He didn’t wake up till
H lunch time,
• / waited under the clock! – So did I. but I didn’t see you! We must
• havt been waiting under different clocks.
I It was a head-on collision, but the drivers weren ’t hurt. ~ They must
I have been wearing their seat belts.
must (deduction) compared to may/might
The difference is best seen by examples:
(a) imagine that we have three keys on a ring and we know that one of these keys opens the cellar door. We might begin by picking one kgy and saying:
This may/might be the hey. (Perhaps this is toe key.) But after trying two keys unsuccessfully, we wffl pick up the third key and say This must be the key. No other choice remains.
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I
I -* ~&r
I «. *.
15 Deduction and assumption .
(b) / wonder why Tom hasn 7 answered my Utter. ~ He may/might be ill.
(Perhaps he is ill. But there are other possibilities also: he may be
away or too busy to answer.)
But imagine that Bill never has any visitors. If an ambulance stops at his door the neighbours will say Bill must be ill. This is the only possible explanation of the arrival of the ambulance.
(c) Similarly, when considering a past action:
He may have come by train. (Perhaps he came by train. But there are other possibilities: he might have come by taxi or bus.)
But He must have come by taxi implies that he had no choice. There was
no other way of making this journey.
&
158 have/had used for deduction
This is an American usage which is sometimes heard in Britain. have/had here is chiefly used with to be:
There’s a tall grey bird fishing in the river. ~ It has to be/must
be a heron. had + to be can express the speaker’s feeling of certainty in the past:
There was a knock on the door. It had to be Tom. (She was sure it
was Tom.) had + to be can also be an alternative to must + perfect infinitive:
/ wonder who took the money. – It had to be Tom/It must have been
Tom. He’s the oniy one who was there.
But, to avoid confusion, the student is advised to stick to the must forms.
159 can’t and couldn’t used for negative deduction
A Negative deductions about a present event can be expressed by can’t/couldn’t with the present infinitive of the verb be or with the continuous infinitive of any verb:
CHILD: Can I have some sweets? I’m hungry.
MOTHER: You can’t/couldn’t be hungry. You’ve just had dinner.
ANN flocking through binoculars): An aeroplane is pulling up people
from the boat!
TOM: It can’t/couldn’t be an aeroplane. It must be a helicopter.
He says he’s still reading ’The Turn of the Screw’. – He can ’t/couldn ’t still be reading it. I lent it to him ages ago and it’s , quite a short book.
B Negative deductions about a past event are expressed by
can’t/couldn’t + the perfect infinitive or continuous perfect infinitive
of any verb:
A man answered the phone. I suppose it was her husband. ~ It can ’t/couldn’t have been her husband. He’s been dead for ages.
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160
A
D
15 Deduction and assumption
/ took a Circle Line train to St Paul’s. ~ You can ’t/couldn’t have
taken the Circle Line. It doesn ’tgo through St Paul’s. You must
have been on the Central Line.
couldn’t must be used when the deduction is made in the past or introduced by a verb in the past tense:
She said I couldn ’t have come on the Circle Line.
He said it couldn’t be an aeroplane. Otherwise either can’t or couldn’t can be used.
will and should for assumption
will used for assumptions about present or past actions
will here can be used with the present infinitive (for non- deliberate
actions only) or with the continuous or perfect infinitive:
Ring his home number. He’ll be at home now. (I’m sure he’s at home.)
He’ll be expecting a call from you (I’m sure he’s expecting a call.) He’ll have finished his supper. (I’m sure he has finished his supper.) It’s no use asking Tom; he won’t know. (I’m sure he doesn’t.) Will Bill be at the club now, do you think? (Do you think he is?) should used for assumptions about present or past actions should here is used mainly with the present infinitive (for nondeliberate actions only) in the affirmative or negative. It is sometimes also possible with the continuous and perfect infinitives:
The plane should be landing now. (I expect it is landing.) The letter should have arrived by now. (I expect it has arrived.) Assumptions with should are less confident than assumptions with will:
Tom should know the address. (I expect Tom knows it.) But Tom’ll know the address. (I’m sure Tom knows it.) He should have finished by now. (I expect he has finished.) But He’ll have finished by now. (I’m sure Sie has finished.)
should is not used for assumptions which displease the speaker:
Let’s not go shopping now. The shops will be very crowded, (should would not be used.)
But for the opposite (agreeable) assumption, either word couid be used’ Let’s go shopping now. The shops will be/should be fairly empty or The’shops won’t be/shouldn ’t be too crowded.
will and should can also express assumptions about the future: He should/will have plenty of time to get to the station. They shouldn ’t/wo» ’t have any difficulty in finding the house.
will + present infinitive us ’ far assumptions about the future is not
restricted to non-deliberate {fctions. (See also 209.)
ought to can be used in the same way as should in B and C above:
The plane ought ta be/should be taking off in a minute. But should u the more usual form.
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